See also

    Dukascopy. Interbank forex broker provides highest liquidity and marketplace for on-line forex trading.
Indices
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Interactive historical charts Interactive historical charts since 1900

Czytaj Example 1 - Crude Oil Producer's Short Hedge







Introduction
Example 1 - Crude Oil Producer's Short Hedge
Example 2 - Electricity Producer Fears a Price Decline
Example 3 - Petroleum Marketer's Long Hedge, Rising and Falling Markets
Strip Trades
Spread Trades




A crude oil producer agrees to sell 30,000 barrels a month for each of six months at the posted prices prevailing at delivery. When he agrees to the deal, posted prices are $20.50 a barrel, but as market conditions appear to be weakening, he wants to protect his revenues against a decline, and executes a short hedge. The example shows how the producer’s revenue is protected from the full brunt of a declining market.

In this example, the oil producer establishes hedges for the second, third, fourth, fifth, sixth, and seventh contract months against his production during the first, second, third, fourth, fifth, and sixth months ahead. Near-month futures positions are liquidated after a price posting is established (normally on the first day of the calendar month).

In a surplus crude market, spot prices generally fall faster than postings, regardless of whether prices decline more slowly, as in Case 1, or more rapidly, as in Case 2









If the producer could not lock in revenue, he could be faced with shutting in all or part of the production.

The example shows two possible outcomes. Case 1, with relatively high posted and futures prices, and Case 2, with relatively low posted and futures prices. Short hedges for February, March, April, May, June, and July (against January, February, March, April, May, and June production) are initially established on December 1.

Assuming the futures hedge is placed on December 1, the near-month contract is January and the second month out is February. Because the January crude futures contract expires three business days prior to December 24, and the posted prices for January are not finally established until January 2, the example attempts to have the liquidation of the futures coincide with the setting of the posted price.

In summary, the nearby contract is used to hedge current production. For example, the February futures contract is utilized to hedge January production because the timing is better matched.




Source:

























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